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思想拉斯维加斯9888

金融学系列讲座(2013-02)

2013-03-04

题 目:Have we solved the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle?

汇报人:Kewei Hou, Ohio State University

时 间:2013年3月7日(周四)10:00-11:30

地 点:拉斯维加斯9888新楼217室

Abstract: We propose a simple methodology to evaluate a large number of potential explanations for the negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility and subsequent stock returns (the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle). We find that surprisingly many existing explanations explain less than 10% of the puzzle. On the other hand, explanations based on investors’ lottery preferences, short-term return reversal, and earnings shocks show greater promise in explaining the puzzle. Together they account for 60-80% of the negative idiosyncratic volatility-return relation. Our methodology can be applied to evaluate competing explanations for a broad range of topics in asset pricing and corporate finance.

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